"There aint no way Albert (Pujols) is getting 133 RBI's with that club. It aint happenin!"
Ah, Harold Reynolds. So distinguished. So well-informed. So lucky to still be having a job on television. I'd like us to take a closer look at this specific part about Pujols and the mention of RBI. I must warn you though, if you share the same way of thinking as that of Reynolds and Larkin, you may want to stop reading now. Because what I'm about to do involves statistics, none of which come from a crumbled piece of paper provided to me by means of an old man in a straw hat.
2008 St. Louis Cardinals
.350 OBP (2nd in NL)
#1 Batter: .345 OBP
#2 Batter: .371 OBP
Albert Pujols bats third, which means the amount of RBI he gets is largely dependent on whether or not the first and second batters get on base. The last time Albert Pujols had at least 133 RBI was in 2006. Let's see what that team looked like.
2006 St. Louis Cardinals
.337 OBP (5th in NL)
#1 Batter: .335 OBP
#2 Batter: .338 OBP
So what Harold Reynolds is saying is that there is no way that Pujols can get 133 RBI with the 2009 club, even though their roster is darn near exactly the same as it was last year, and even though he was able to do it with a team that was inferior in 2006. There are two things to be learned from this:
1) RBI are dumb, unpredictable, and depend on too many outside factors.
2) Harold Reynolds is an imbecile who should stick to what he knows best: teaching kids how to throw a ball accurately to first base from 20 yards away.