tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2409217226324957988.post3859050747358887070..comments2023-05-26T01:55:01.830-07:00Comments on And That Happened: Hey, it's Opening DayGrifhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07760923623382740825noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2409217226324957988.post-56306573024199439962009-04-07T01:45:00.000-07:002009-04-07T01:45:00.000-07:00I'm bored, so I thought I'd do some line up messer...I'm bored, so I thought I'd do some line up messery. I used the <A HREF="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/index.php?tm=CIN" REL="nofollow">PECOTA projections</A> for the Reds plus <A HREF="http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/LineupAnalysis.py?Player0=Willy+Taveras&OBA0=.320+&Slug0=.323+&Player1=Chris+Dickerson&OBA1=.334+&Slug1=.429+&Player2=Joey+Votto&OBA2=.371+&Slug2=.517+&Player3=Brandon+Phillips&OBA3=.336+&Slug3=.456+&Player4=Jay+Bruce&OBA4=.343+&Slug4=.511+&Player5=Edwin+Encarnacion&OBA5=.364+&Slug5=.492+&Player6=Ramon+Hernandez&OBA6=.330+&Slug6=.410+&Player7=Alex+Gonzalez&OBA7=.308+&Slug7=.405+&Player8=Pitcher&OBA8=0.175+&Slug8=0.173+&Model=0" REL="nofollow">Baseball Musing's line-up toy</A> and plugged in what seems to be Dusty's intended every day lineup. The BM toy doesn't consider handedness, which is meaningful but w/e.<BR/><BR/>Dusty's line-up's projected runs per game: 4.496<BR/><BR/>BM's Optimal Lineup:<BR/>Edwin Encarnacion<BR/>Joey Votto<BR/>Ramon Hernandez<BR/>Jay Bruce<BR/>Brandon Phillips<BR/>Alex Gonzalez<BR/>Chris Dickerson<BR/>Pitcher<BR/>Willy Taveras<BR/><BR/>That lineup gets 4.754 runs per game. I would probably want Taveras ahead of the pitcher (Dickerson 9th?) so he could steal bases in front of a hitter who can't advance him otherwise. We learn a couple things here.<BR/><BR/>1) Dusty Baker is pretty crazy.<BR/><BR/>2) Batting order doesn't matter much, though. Not that it's not fun to make fun of Dusty Baker for refusing to make it as strong as he can.Grifhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07760923623382740825noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2409217226324957988.post-36348684114207040382009-04-07T01:33:00.000-07:002009-04-07T01:33:00.000-07:00I would normally say the pitcher is the one who sh...I would normally say the pitcher is the one who should hit 8th.<BR/><BR/>But with Taveras, I could be persuaded to change my mind.Grifhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07760923623382740825noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2409217226324957988.post-69033117031755984772009-04-06T12:49:00.000-07:002009-04-06T12:49:00.000-07:00So he doesn't trust defensive statistics because t...So he doesn't trust defensive statistics because they come from judgment calls? Um, aren't scouts making judgment calls when they evaluate defense? Contradiction, ftl!Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09119446271328649796noreply@blogger.com